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dimuon-lite vs AdamW, LoRA SFT on Qwen3.5-2B, no_robots held-out NLL

Succeeded weak evidence against Devin Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B SFT 2.0 GPU-h budget started 14h ago 1h 14m
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On fork spindle-fork-run_07e69074dc, 100-step rank-32 LoRA SFT of Qwen3.5-2B on no_robots gave AdamW-minus-Dimuon test token-mean NLL +0.00064 nats (per-seed +0.00055, +0.00106, +0.00031; 95% paired-t CI [-0.00032, +0.00160], 3 seeds) at frozen LRs AdamW 0.0002 / Dimuon 0.003. The CI lies entirely below the 0.02-nat margin, so the hypothesis is refuted; confidence weak because both selected LRs sit at the upper grid edge.

Full summary

On fork spindle-fork-run_07e69074dc, 100-step rank-32 LoRA SFT of Qwen3.5-2B on no_robots gave AdamW-minus-Dimuon test token-mean NLL +0.00064 nats (per-seed +0.00055, +0.00106, +0.00031; 95% paired-t CI [-0.00032, +0.00160], 3 seeds) at frozen LRs AdamW 0.0002 / Dimuon 0.003. The CI lies entirely below the 0.02-nat margin, so the hypothesis is refuted; confidence weak because both selected LRs sit at the upper grid edge. IFEval secondary dropped for budget.

Why Measured: Dimuon beat AdamW by 0.00064 nats on 500 test items in all 3 seeds, but the 95% paired-t interval [-0.00032, 0.00160] is entirely below the 0.02-nat success margin, so the prespecified criterion is not met (refuted). Inferred limits: both frozen LRs (AdamW 2e-4, Dimuon 3e-3) are at the top of their grids, so a larger LR could change the gap; the restore-replay optimizer-state check showed ~1% relative differences from bf16 state persistence (not exercised by this design). Confidence is limited by: treatment activation unverified; initialization and optimizer verification unverified; decision evidence uncertain; feasibility evidence incomplete; the run changed the experiment, so this judges the changed version; a selected learning rate sits at the edge of its grid. Reclassified from inconclusive under the direction-plus-confidence rule.

Result val_token_mean_nll 3 kept from interim updates

pilot mean 2.181 · 2 armssel mean 2.104 · 6 armsbaseline mean — · 0 armstreatment mean — · 0 arms
Lower is better · Axis from 2 to 2.3, not zero
armval_token_mean_nll
pilot_adamw_lr1e-4_s02.096
pilot_dimuon_lr1e-3_s02.267
sel_adamw_lr5e-05_s02.071
sel_adamw_lr0.0001_s02.066
sel_adamw_lr0.0002_s02.063
sel_dimuon_lr0.0003_s02.251
sel_dimuon_lr0.001_s02.107
sel_dimuon_lr0.003_s02.067
baseline_adamw_s0—
baseline_adamw_s1—
baseline_adamw_s2—
treatment_dimuon_s0—
treatment_dimuon_s1—
treatment_dimuon_s2—
4 more metrics under Evidence, All metrics.
Arms Devin reported complete: sel_adamw_lr5e-05_s0, sel_adamw_lr0.0001_s0, sel_adamw_lr0.0002_s0, sel_dimuon_lr0.0003_s0, sel_dimuon_lr0.001_s0, sel_dimuon_lr0.003_s0, baseline_adamw_s0, treatment_dimuon_s0, baseline_adamw_s1, treatment_dimuon_s1, baseline_adamw_s2, treatment_dimuon_s2
Changes from the spec 3 · original hypothesis not tested
whatspecran withwhyrecorded
Endpoint metricshared Spindle TINKER_BASE_URLthrowaway fork spindle-fork-run_07e69074dc (env research-exchange-runs), Spindle 5148cb62 + spindle_fork.patch, Miles 228b59dShared Spindle rejects DimuonOptimizerConfig with HTTP 400 'optimizer family dimuon is not supported'; instructions permit a throwaway fork. Both arms ran on the fork. before the run ended
Evaluatorprimary held-out NLL + secondary IFEval (541 prompts, greedy, 1024 tokens)primary held-out NLL only; IFEval not runDownsizing step 1 permitted by the spec: IFEval generation on 6 confirmation adapters is the first item to drop to keep the run within the 2.0 GPU-hour / 150-minute budget; LR grid, steps, seeds and test NLL unchanged. before the run ended
Evaluatorprimary held-out NLL + secondary IFEval strict accuracy (541 prompts, greedy, 1024 tokens; descriptive only)IFEval dropped; primary 500-item no_robots test token-mean NLL unchangedSpec downsizing order step 1, decided after the feasibility pilot and before the sweep, to keep the 2.0 GPU-hour / 150-minute budget with recovery reserve. only in the final result

Original hypothesis tested: no (changing the endpoint changes the question)

Devin's verdict on the changed experiment: inconclusive

  • reported only in the final result, not before training went on: evaluator
  • reported the original hypothesis as tested despite changing the endpoint
  • the original hypothesis was not tested, and tested_instead does not say what was
Checks · activation unverified · evaluator comparable · feasibility unknown
Custom implementation correctness: passed
Reported baseline and reference parity checks meet accepted tolerances.
Validates executor-reported evidence; autonomous training calls are not blocked by this server.
Parity errors and accepted tolerances
[
  {
    "check": "baseline_update",
    "measured": {
      "cosine_similarity": 0.9999999999984532,
      "max_abs_error": 2.9103830456733704e-11,
      "reference_max_abs": 0.00010000001202570274,
      "relative_l2_error": 1.1836754552721225e-07
    },
    "path": "spindle_dimuon_lite_optimizer",
    "status": "passed",
    "tolerance": {
      "atol": 1e-06,
      "min_cosine": 0.99999,
      "rtol": 0.001
    }
  },
  {
    "check": "reference_update",
    "measured": {
      "cosine_similarity": 0.999999999999538,
      "max_abs_error": 0.0,
      "reference_max_abs": 0.00043169609853066504,
      "relative_l2_error": 0.0
    },
    "path": "spindle_dimuon_lite_optimizer",
    "status": "passed",
    "tolerance": {
      "atol": 1e-05,
      "min_cosine": 0.999,
      "rtol": 0.01
    }
  },
  {
    "check": "lr_scaling",
    "path": "spindle_dimuon_lite_optimizer",
    "relative_error": 7.735888063464813e-08,
    "status": "passed",
    "tolerance": {
      "learning_rates": [
        0.0001,
        0.001,
        0.01
      ],
      "rtol": 0.01
    }
  }
]
Treatment activation: unverified
Not reported: executed_optimizer_step_type.
executed_base_model
Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B needs one of Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B · passed
executed_optimizer_step_type
not reported needs one of DimuonParams, AdamParams · missing
dimuon_B_update_normalized_stable_rank_step1
0.7929276215700582 needs >= 0.6 and <= 1.05 · passed
batch_hash_match_across_arms
1.0 needs >= 1 and <= 1 · passed
pilot_train_nll_drop_dimuon_10steps
0.39079209931617687 needs >= 0 · passed
Initialization / optimizer verification: unverified
baseline_adamw_s0: missing or duplicate arm evidence.
Research decision: uncertain
Adaptive selection requires disjoint search and confirmation IDs.
Inference unit: training_seed · 3 scheduled seed(s). Student-t confidence interval.
Coverage assumes independent, identically distributed normal seed effects. These assumptions are declared, not verified.
Evaluator comparability: comparable
no_robots_test_token_mean_nll_at_step_100: comparable · baseline, treatment
Evaluator identities and per-arm scores
{
  "comparisons": [
    {
      "arms": [
        "baseline",
        "treatment"
      ],
      "metric": "no_robots_test_token_mean_nll_at_step_100"
    }
  ],
  "evaluators": {
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      "decoding": {
        "max_tokens": 0,
        "stop": [],
        "temperature": null,
        "type": "teacher_forced_forward"
      },
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      },
      "parser": "token NLL = -sum(logprobs[weights>0]); token_mean = sum NLL / sum counted tokens over 500 items",
      "prompt_template": "tinker_cookbook renderer for Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B (renderers.get_recommended_renderer_name), conversation_to_datum(messages, renderer, max_length=2048), TrainOnWhat=ALL_ASSISTANT_MESSAGES default; teacher-forced cross_entropy forward; NLL counted where weight>0"
    }
  },
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      "predictions_ref": "predictions-confirm-test.jsonl",
      "seed": 0,
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    {
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      "metric": "no_robots_test_token_mean_nll_at_step_100",
      "predictions_ref": "predictions-confirm-test.jsonl",
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      "metric": "no_robots_test_token_mean_nll_at_step_100",
      "predictions_ref": "predictions-confirm-test.jsonl",
      "seed": 1,
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    {
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      "metric": "no_robots_test_token_mean_nll_at_step_100",
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      "value": 2.030896831835155
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    {
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      "metric": "no_robots_test_token_mean_nll_at_step_100",
      "predictions_ref": "predictions-confirm-test.jsonl",
      "seed": 2,
      "value": 2.0305850384881765
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  "version": 1
}
Held-out loss aggregation
Spec asks for token mean (summed NLL / loss tokens) · run reported token mean (summed NLL / loss tokens)
Checked: every arm used this aggregation on the same tokens and examples, and each value matches its totals.
armvaluetoken meanexample meanloss tokensexamples
baseline_adamw_s02.0332.0331.91297,346500
treatment_dimuon_s02.0332.0331.91197,346500
baseline_adamw_s12.0312.0311.91297,346500
treatment_dimuon_s12.032.031.90997,346500
baseline_adamw_s22.0312.0311.9197,346500
treatment_dimuon_s22.0312.0311.9197,346500
Feasibility projection: unknown
Projected costs, not measured GPU usage.
Projected wall time
unknown
Projected GPU allocation
unknown
  • Re-projection required: lora_rank changed or was not recorded
  • Re-projection required: dataset changed or was not recorded
  • Re-projection required: steps changed or was not recorded
  • Re-projection required: n_examples changed or was not recorded
  • Re-projection required: n_eval changed or was not recorded
  • Representative evaluation timing not recorded
  • Representative training timing not recorded
  • Representative setup timing not recorded
  • Unknown timing phase: setup_fork_deploy
  • Unknown timing phase: setup_pilot
  • Unknown timing phase: training_pilot
  • Unknown timing phase: heldout_eval_pilot
  • Unknown timing phase: setup_selection
  • Unknown timing phase: training_selection
  • Unknown timing phase: heldout_eval_selection
  • Unknown timing phase: setup_confirmation
  • Unknown timing phase: training_confirmation
  • Unknown timing phase: heldout_eval_confirmation
Timing, sample counts and allocation evidence
{
  "generation_applicability": {
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    "features": {
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    "Re-projection required: n_examples changed or was not recorded",
    "Re-projection required: n_eval changed or was not recorded",
    "Representative evaluation timing not recorded",
    "Representative training timing not recorded",
    "Representative setup timing not recorded",
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    "Unknown timing phase: setup_pilot",
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    "Unknown timing phase: setup_selection",
    "Unknown timing phase: training_selection",
    "Unknown timing phase: heldout_eval_selection",
    "Unknown timing phase: setup_confirmation",
    "Unknown timing phase: training_confirmation",
    "Unknown timing phase: heldout_eval_confirmation"
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  "record": {
    "config": {
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    "effective_config": {
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Generated task audit: not applicable
spec.generation_audit opts out and no feature it covers is true
Answer agreement with recorded independent solutions does not establish semantic correctness. Normalized exact overlap does not detect paraphrases.
Spec exp_71911f0fb9
Experiment version
exp_71911f0fb9
Execute the selected saved experiment version.

Hypothesis

With per-optimizer learning rates picked on a validation split, LoRA SFT with dimuon-lite cuts held-out no_robots token_mean NLL by at least 0.02 nats versus AdamW. Both arms use the same 100 steps, batches and seeds.

Success criterion

Validated if the simultaneous 95% paired_t interval, across 3 training seeds, for (AdamW NLL − DiMuon NLL) on no_robots test token_mean NLL at step 100 lies entirely above 0.02 nats. Failed if it lies entirely below 0.02. Otherwise inconclusive. IFEval strict accuracy is reported descriptively and does not decide.

no_robots 100 steps batch 32 LoRA r32 lr 0.001 150 min wall budget
Method
Train a rank-32 LoRA on Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B over HuggingFaceH4/no_robots, using one tinker SDK script for both arms so the only difference is the optimizer. The cookbook chat_sl recipe is AdamW-only, so running AdamW through the same script removes any recipe difference. DiMuon is selected at creation with optimizer=tinker.types.DimuonOptimizerConfig() and stepped with DimuonParams(learning_rate, beta1=0.9, grad_clip_norm=0.0). AdamW uses tinker.AdamParams(learning_rate, beta1=0.9, beta2=0.95, eps=1e-8). dimuon-lite is a recently landed reverse-engineered update rule: Polar Express orthogonalization with about 5 iterations, rank_lr_correction_exponent 0.175, Muon on LoRA B, and no beta2. Its update is checked against the trusted DiMuon reconstruction before the comparison runs. Phase 1, LR selection: each optimizer runs 40 steps at seed 0 on a 3-point LR grid fixed now (AdamW {5e-5, 1e-4, 2e-4}; DiMuon {3e-4, 1e-3, 3e-3}). Each run is scored by token_mean NLL on 500 validation items held out from the train split, and the best LR per optimizer is frozen. Phase 2, confirmation: each optimizer trains 100 steps at its frozen LR for seeds {0,1,2}. Batches are identical across arms within a seed: the same shuffled order of the remaining 9,000 train rows, batch_size 32, max_seq_len 2048. Data order and LoRA init seed are shared per seed. Primary eval is token_mean NLL on the full 500-example no_robots test split, computed from per-example summed logprobs times loss weights via forward(). Secondary, descriptive only: IFEval prompt-level strict accuracy (541 prompts, greedy, max_tokens 1024) on each final checkpoint. IFEval is dropped first if feasibility does not fit.
Baseline
AdamW (tinker.AdamParams, beta1 0.9, beta2 0.95, eps 1e-8) through the same SDK script, with the same model, LoRA rank, init seed, batches and order, 100 steps, and eval. Its LR is chosen by the same 3-point validation search.
Full spec
{
  "activation_gate": {
    "applicable": true,
    "checks": [
      {
        "measures": "model name passed to create_lora_training_client in every arm",
        "metric": "executed_base_model",
        "one_of": [
          "Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B"
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      },
      {
        "measures": "train token_mean NLL at step 0 minus step 10 in the DiMuon pilot at the middle LR; must be finite and positive",
        "metric": "pilot_train_nll_drop_dimuon_10steps",
        "min": 0.0
      }
    ],
    "reason": "The paired comparison only tests DiMuon if the executed optimizer really orthogonalizes LoRA B updates and both arms ran the declared configuration. Polar Express makes the first-step B update near-orthogonal (flat singular spectrum); AdamW's is not. This is measured from saved weight diffs, not SDK introspection."
  },
  "arms": [
    {
      "lr": 5e-05,
      "name": "lrsearch_adamw_5e-5_s0",
      "optimizer": "adam",
      "phase": "selection",
      "seed": 0,
      "steps": 40
    },
    {
      "lr": 0.0001,
      "name": "lrsearch_adamw_1e-4_s0",
      "optimizer": "adam",
      "phase": "selection",
      "seed": 0,
      "steps": 40
    },
    {
      "lr": 0.0002,
      "name": "lrsearch_adamw_2e-4_s0",
      "optimizer": "adam",
      "phase": "selection",
      "seed": 0,
      "steps": 40
    },
    {
      "lr": 0.0003,
      "name": "lrsearch_dimuon_3e-4_s0",
      "optimizer": "dimuon-lite",
      "phase": "selection",
      "seed": 0,
      "steps": 40
    },
    {
      "lr": 0.001,
      "name": "lrsearch_dimuon_1e-3_s0",
      "optimizer": "dimuon-lite",
      "phase": "selection",
      "seed": 0,
      "steps": 40
    },
    {
      "lr": 0.003,
      "name": "lrsearch_dimuon_3e-3_s0",
      "optimizer": "dimuon-lite",
      "phase": "selection",
      "seed": 0,
      "steps": 40
    },
    {
      "lr": "frozen from selection",
      "name": "baseline_adamw_s0",
      "optimizer": "adam",
      "phase": "confirmation",
      "seed": 0,
      "steps": 100
    },
    {
      "lr": "frozen from selection",
      "name": "baseline_adamw_s1",
      "optimizer": "adam",
      "phase": "confirmation",
      "seed": 1,
      "steps": 100
    },
    {
      "lr": "frozen from selection",
      "name": "baseline_adamw_s2",
      "optimizer": "adam",
      "phase": "confirmation",
      "seed": 2,
      "steps": 100
    },
    {
      "lr": "frozen from selection",
      "name": "treatment_dimuon_s0",
      "optimizer": "dimuon-lite",
      "phase": "confirmation",
      "seed": 0,
      "steps": 100
    },
    {
      "lr": "frozen from selection",
      "name": "treatment_dimuon_s1",
      "optimizer": "dimuon-lite",
      "phase": "confirmation",
      "seed": 1,
      "steps": 100
    },
    {
      "lr": "frozen from selection",
      "name": "treatment_dimuon_s2",
      "optimizer": "dimuon-lite",
      "phase": "confirmation",
      "seed": 2,
      "steps": 100
    }
  ],
  "base_model": "Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B",
  "baseline": "AdamW (tinker.AdamParams, beta1 0.9, beta2 0.95, eps 1e-8) through the same SDK script, with the same model, LoRA rank, init seed, batches and order, 100 steps, and eval. Its LR is chosen by the same 3-point validation search.",
  "batch_size": 32,
  "budget": {
    "gpu_hours": 2.0,
    "max_wall_minutes": 150
  },
  "command": "# Custom part: one SDK SFT loop shared by both optimizers (cookbook chat_sl is AdamW-only).\nimport os, sys, tinker, datasets, random\nfrom tinker_cookbook import renderers, tokenizer_utils\nfrom tinker_cookbook.supervised.data import conversation_to_datum\nOPT, LR, SEED, STEPS = sys.argv[1], float(sys.argv[2]), int(sys.argv[3]), int(sys.argv[4])\nMODEL='Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B'; BS=32; MAXLEN=2048\ntok=tokenizer_utils.get_tokenizer(MODEL); rend=renderers.get_renderer(renderers.get_recommended_renderer_name(MODEL) if hasattr(renderers,'get_recommended_renderer_name') else 'qwen3', tok)\nds=datasets.load_dataset('HuggingFaceH4/no_robots'); tr=list(ds['train']); random.Random(1234).shuffle(tr)\nval, train = tr[:500], tr[500:]; random.Random(SEED).shuffle(train)\nmk=lambda r: conversation_to_datum(r['messages'], rend, MAXLEN)\nsc=tinker.ServiceClient(base_url=os.environ['TINKER_BASE_URL'])\nkw={'optimizer': tinker.types.DimuonOptimizerConfig()} if OPT=='dimuon' else {}\ntc=sc.create_lora_training_client(base_model=MODEL, rank=32, seed=SEED, **kw)\ntc.save_weights_for_sampler(name=f'init-{OPT}-s{SEED}').result()  # hash for restoration preflight\nstep_params = (lambda: tinker.types.DimuonParams(learning_rate=LR, beta1=0.9, grad_clip_norm=0.0)) if OPT=='dimuon' else (lambda: tinker.AdamParams(learning_rate=LR, beta1=0.9, beta2=0.95, eps=1e-8))\nfor s in range(STEPS):\n    batch=[mk(r) for r in train[s*BS:(s+1)*BS]]\n    tc.forward_backward(batch, loss_fn='cross_entropy').result(); tc.optim_step(step_params()).result()\ndef nll(rows):  # token_mean from per-example totals, never batch loss:mean\n    tot=0.0; n=0.0\n    for i in range(0,len(rows),32):\n        d=[mk(r) for r in rows[i:i+32]]; out=tc.forward(d, loss_fn='cross_entropy').result()\n        for di,o in zip(d,out.loss_fn_outputs):\n            w=di.loss_fn_inputs['weights'].to_numpy(); lp=o['logprobs'].to_numpy(); tot+=-(lp*w).sum(); n+=w.sum()\n    return tot/n\nsplit = val if STEPS==40 else list(ds['test'])\nprint({'opt':OPT,'lr':LR,'seed':SEED,'steps':STEPS,'token_mean_nll':nll(split)})\ntc.save_weights_for_sampler(name=f'final-{OPT}-lr{LR}-s{SEED}').result()\n# run: python sft_opt.py {adam|dimuon} <lr> <seed> {40|100}",
  "correctness_preflight": {
    "notes": "Tolerances are fixed for bf16 LoRA weights with fp32 optimizer math before measuring. reference_update rtol 1e-2 leaves headroom over the reported 0.09% error. Feed the same LoRA state and gradient to the Spindle DiMuon step and to the reference for one step. With grad_clip_norm=0 and beta1 momentum seeded from the first gradient, the update should scale linearly in LR across a 100x span.",
    "paths": [
      {
        "baseline_revision": "UNRESOLVED: pin the modal-projects/spindle commit deployed at the shared Spindle URL (post-#85). AdamW updates on this deployment must match the pre-#85 AdamW update on identical grads/state.",
        "id": "spindle_dimuon_lite_optimizer",
        "kind": "optimizer",
        "lr_scaling": {
          "learning_rates": [
            0.0001,
            0.001,
            0.01
          ],
          "rtol": 0.01
        },
        "reference_revision": "UNRESOLVED: pin the commit of Aaron's DiMuon reconstruction (0.09% relative update error vs Tinker) and the modal-projects/miles commit of #17",
        "tolerances": {
          "baseline_update": {
            "atol": 1e-06,
            "min_cosine": 0.99999,
            "rtol": 0.001
          },
          "reference_update": {
            "atol": 1e-05,
            "min_cosine": 0.999,
            "rtol": 0.01
          }
        }
      }
    ],
    "required": true,
    "status": "unresolved: spindle and miles commits for #85/#17 and the commit of Aaron's DiMuon reconstruction must be pinned before any full sweep"
  },
  "dataset": {
    "hf_path": "HuggingFaceH4/no_robots",
    "n_examples": 9500,
    "name": "no_robots",
    "split": "train (9000 for training, 500 held out for LR selection); test (500) for confirmation"
  },
  "decision_rule": {
    "adaptive_selection": {
      "confirmation_item_ids": "all 500 rows of no_robots split=test",
      "kind": "hyperparameter",
      "rationale": "Muon-family and AdamW LoRA optimizers have very different good LRs. Each gets a prespecified 3-point grid, scored only on validation items held out from train, and the choice is frozen before the single confirmation eval on the test split.",
      "search_item_ids": "no_robots train rows held out by seeded shuffle (seed 1234), first 500 after shuffle; never used for training"
    },
    "alpha": 0.05,
    "assumptions": {
      "identically_distributed_seed_effects": true,
      "independent_seed_effects": true,
      "normal_seed_effects": true
    },
    "criteria": [
      {
        "id": "primary",
        "margin": 0.02,
        "metric": "no_robots_test_token_mean_nll_at_step_100",
        "weights": {
          "baseline": 1,
          "treatment": -1
        }
      }
    ],
    "estimand": "Reduction in held-out no_robots test token_mean NLL at step 100 from replacing AdamW with dimuon-lite (each at its validation-selected LR) for rank-32 LoRA SFT on Qwen3.5-2B; larger is better for dimuon-lite.",
    "method": "paired_t",
    "seeds": [
      0,
      1,
      2
    ],
    "unit": "training_seed",
    "version": 1
  },
  "eval": {
    "aggregation": "token_mean",
    "benchmark": "no_robots test split (HuggingFaceH4/no_robots, split=test)",
    "metric": "held-out token_mean NLL (nats per assistant loss token)",
    "n_examples": 500
  },
  "experiment_features": {
    "adaptive_selection": true,
    "checkpoint_restore": false,
    "custom_loss": false,
    "custom_optimizer": true,
    "generated_training_data": false,
    "heldout_loss": true,
    "learned_generator": false,
    "paired_comparison": true,
    "paired_training_arms": true,
    "warmup_adaptation": false
  },
  "feasibility": {
    "config": null,
    "downsizing_order": "drop IFEval secondary, then shrink LR grid to 2 points per optimizer, then shorten selection runs to 25 steps; keep 3 seeds and the 100-step test NLL. If that still does not fit, report inconclusive.",
    "effective_config": {
      "arms": 12,
      "base_model": "Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B",
      "batch_size": 32,
      "confirmation_steps": 100,
      "max_seq_len": 2048,
      "n_eval_test": 500,
      "n_eval_validation": 500,
      "n_ifeval_secondary": 541,
      "planned_arm_steps": 840,
      "selection_steps": 40
    },
    "generation": null,
    "measurements": null,
    "primary_endpoint": "no_robots_test_token_mean_nll_at_step_100",
    "recovery": null,
    "source": null
  },
  "feasibility_check": {
    "generation_applicability": {
      "check": "generation_audit",
      "enforce": false,
      "features": {
        "generated_training_data": false
      },
      "reasons": [
        "spec.generation_audit opts out and no feature it covers is true"
      ],
      "status": "not_applicable"
    },
    "generation_counts": null,
    "gpu_hours": null,
    "known_gpu_hours": 0,
    "phases": {},
    "problems": [
      "Effective configuration not recorded",
      "Pilot evidence source not recorded",
      "Representative training timing not recorded",
      "Representative setup timing not recorded",
      "Representative evaluation timing not recorded",
      "Positive recovery reserve not recorded"
    ],
    "status": "unknown",
    "wall_seconds": null
  },
  "feasibility_required": true,
  "generation_audit": {
    "answer_comparison": null,
    "max_eval_overlaps": 0,
    "max_label_errors": 0,
    "min_sample_size": 0,
    "reason": "fixed public dataset; no generated training data",
    "required": false
  },
  "hypothesis": "With per-optimizer learning rates picked on a validation split, LoRA SFT with dimuon-lite cuts held-out no_robots token_mean NLL by at least 0.02 nats versus AdamW. Both arms use the same 100 steps, batches and seeds.",
  "lora_rank": 32,
  "max_seq_len": 2048,
  "method": "Train a rank-32 LoRA on Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B over HuggingFaceH4/no_robots, using one tinker SDK script for both arms so the only difference is the optimizer. The cookbook chat_sl recipe is AdamW-only, so running AdamW through the same script removes any recipe difference. DiMuon is selected at creation with optimizer=tinker.types.DimuonOptimizerConfig() and stepped with DimuonParams(learning_rate, beta1=0.9, grad_clip_norm=0.0). AdamW uses tinker.AdamParams(learning_rate, beta1=0.9, beta2=0.95, eps=1e-8). dimuon-lite is a recently landed reverse-engineered update rule: Polar Express orthogonalization with about 5 iterations, rank_lr_correction_exponent 0.175, Muon on LoRA B, and no beta2. Its update is checked against the trusted DiMuon reconstruction before the comparison runs. Phase 1, LR selection: each optimizer runs 40 steps at seed 0 on a 3-point LR grid fixed now (AdamW {5e-5, 1e-4, 2e-4}; DiMuon {3e-4, 1e-3, 3e-3}). Each run is scored by token_mean NLL on 500 validation items held out from the train split, and the best LR per optimizer is frozen. Phase 2, confirmation: each optimizer trains 100 steps at its frozen LR for seeds {0,1,2}. Batches are identical across arms within a seed: the same shuffled order of the remaining 9,000 train rows, batch_size 32, max_seq_len 2048. Data order and LoRA init seed are shared per seed. Primary eval is token_mean NLL on the full 500-example no_robots test split, computed from per-example summed logprobs times loss weights via forward(). Secondary, descriptive only: IFEval prompt-level strict accuracy (541 prompts, greedy, max_tokens 1024) on each final checkpoint. IFEval is dropped first if feasibility does not fit.",
  "optimizer": {
    "lr": 0.001,
    "name": "dimuon-lite"
  },
  "primary_endpoint": "no_robots_test_token_mean_nll_at_step_100",
  "restoration_preflight": {
    "applicable": true,
    "fixed_batch_required": true,
    "groups": [
      {
        "arms": [
          {
            "name": "baseline_adamw_s0",
            "optimizer": "adam",
            "optimizer_config": {
              "beta1": 0.9,
              "beta2": 0.95,
              "eps": 1e-08,
              "lr": "frozen"
            }
          },
          {
            "name": "treatment_dimuon_s0",
            "optimizer": "dimuon-lite",
            "optimizer_config": {
              "beta1": 0.9,
              "grad_clip_norm": 0.0,
              "lr": "frozen"
            }
          }
        ]
      },
      {
        "arms": [
          {
            "name": "baseline_adamw_s1",
            "optimizer": "adam",
            "optimizer_config": {
              "beta1": 0.9,
              "beta2": 0.95,
              "eps": 1e-08,
              "lr": "frozen"
            }
          },
          {
            "name": "treatment_dimuon_s1",
            "optimizer": "dimuon-lite",
            "optimizer_config": {
              "beta1": 0.9,
              "grad_clip_norm": 0.0,
              "lr": "frozen"
            }
          }
        ]
      },
      {
        "arms": [
          {
            "name": "baseline_adamw_s2",
            "optimizer": "adam",
            "optimizer_config": {
              "beta1": 0.9,
              "beta2": 0.95,
              "eps": 1e-08,
              "lr": "frozen"
            }
          },
          {
            "name": "treatment_dimuon_s2",
            "optimizer": "dimuon-lite",
            "optimizer_config": {
              "beta1": 0.9,
              "grad_clip_norm": 0.0,
              "lr": "frozen"
            }
          }
        ]
      }
    ],
    "reason": "AdamW and DiMuon arms are trained from a shared fresh-LoRA start within each seed. Before the first update, each arm calls save_weights and downloads the adapter. The SHA-256 of the LoRA tensors must match across the paired arms; B=0 at init, and A comes from the seeded init. Base-model logprobs on a fixed tokenized batch must also match. A hash mismatch makes that seed inconclusive. Optimizer type is verified by the activation-gate step-1 spectrum check, not by invented introspection."
  },
  "steps": 100,
  "success_criterion": "Validated if the simultaneous 95% paired_t interval, across 3 training seeds, for (AdamW NLL \u2212 DiMuon NLL) on no_robots test token_mean NLL at step 100 lies entirely above 0.02 nats. Failed if it lies entirely below 0.02. Otherwise inconclusive. IFEval strict accuracy is reported descriptively and does not decide.",
  "title": "dimuon-lite vs AdamW, LoRA SFT on Qwen3.5-2B, no_robots held-out NLL",
  "training_type": "sft"
}
Evidence 38

Recorded · Download manifest. Recorded files are retained copies; checkpoint references do not include model weights.

Checkpoint references
[
  {
    "arm": "baseline_adamw_s0",
    "step": 100,
    "uri": "tinker://f11c48d0f72f37d4ff9c6cde3cf5e327/weights/confirm-baseline_adamw_s0-final"
  },
  {
    "arm": "treatment_dimuon_s0",
    "step": 100,
    "uri": "tinker://5114900d3184a1f9e9047b5305999c3f/weights/confirm-treatment_dimuon_s0-final"
  },
  {
    "arm": "baseline_adamw_s1",
    "step": 100,
    "uri": "tinker://3237e16ec54b87586f4118a972d03f52/weights/confirm-baseline_adamw_s1-final"
  },
  {
    "arm": "treatment_dimuon_s1",
    "step": 100,
    "uri": "tinker://08e25db82a092035669aa384182fbeb0/weights/confirm-treatment_dimuon_s1-final"
  },
  {
    "arm": "baseline_adamw_s2",
    "step": 100,
    "uri": "tinker://8eaad4366b3e3f1193bc20115d07490d/weights/confirm-baseline_adamw_s2-final"
  },
  {
    "arm": "treatment_dimuon_s2",
    "step": 100,
    "uri": "tinker://c8db5bb847cd27aaacea58a0dd7561a8/weights/confirm-treatment_dimuon_s2-final"
  },
  {
    "arm": "sel_adamw_lr5e-05_s0",
    "step": 40,
    "uri": "tinker://3e998640432b43e01b7fb42771192b91/weights/select-sel_adamw_lr5e-05_s0-final"
  },
  {
    "arm": "sel_adamw_lr0.0001_s0",
    "step": 40,
    "uri": "tinker://03adbc7870ed91f79da6f4176f6bc747/weights/select-sel_adamw_lr0.0001_s0-final"
  },
  {
    "arm": "sel_adamw_lr0.0002_s0",
    "step": 40,
    "uri": "tinker://bbaff5449c41db38914ac3f4523738b2/weights/select-sel_adamw_lr0.0002_s0-final"
  },
  {
    "arm": "sel_dimuon_lr0.0003_s0",
    "step": 40,
    "uri": "tinker://df15cdc0afbf74e50388cdfd5d48723d/weights/select-sel_dimuon_lr0.0003_s0-final"
  },
  {
    "arm": "sel_dimuon_lr0.001_s0",
    "step": 40,
    "uri": "tinker://07a741b9c4df208a09f7f0ba7592d096/weights/select-sel_dimuon_lr0.001_s0-final"
  },
  {
    "arm": "sel_dimuon_lr0.003_s0",
    "step": 40,
    "uri": "tinker://c1d1931de8c1fc62d30b56642bd6b4bf/weights/select-sel_dimuon_lr0.003_s0-final"
  }
]
Per-arm evidence metrics
{
  "baseline_adamw_s0": {
    "lr": 0.0002,
    "test_example_mean_nll_step100": 1.91155507915606,
    "test_token_mean_nll_step100": 2.0330861653887684
  },
  "baseline_adamw_s1": {
    "lr": 0.0002,
    "test_example_mean_nll_step100": 1.91241359540049,
    "test_token_mean_nll_step100": 2.0314219380012872
  },
  "baseline_adamw_s2": {
    "lr": 0.0002,
    "test_example_mean_nll_step100": 1.9100704506768729,
    "test_token_mean_nll_step100": 2.030896831835155
  },
  "sel_adamw_lr0.0001_s0": {
    "val_token_mean_nll_step40": 2.0660295206510506
  },
  "sel_adamw_lr0.0002_s0": {
    "val_token_mean_nll_step40": 2.063437024862308
  },
  "sel_adamw_lr5e-05_s0": {
    "val_token_mean_nll_step40": 2.0706937086139385
  },
  "sel_dimuon_lr0.0003_s0": {
    "val_token_mean_nll_step40": 2.2506468688995436
  },
  "sel_dimuon_lr0.001_s0": {
    "val_token_mean_nll_step40": 2.1066402324519578
  },
  "sel_dimuon_lr0.003_s0": {
    "val_token_mean_nll_step40": 2.067498914444817
  },
  "treatment_dimuon_s0": {
    "lr": 0.003,
    "test_example_mean_nll_step100": 1.9114180149242064,
    "test_token_mean_nll_step100": 2.0325384676338447
  },
  "treatment_dimuon_s1": {
    "lr": 0.003,
    "test_example_mean_nll_step100": 1.909182655629596,
    "test_token_mean_nll_step100": 2.030357345510328
  },
  "treatment_dimuon_s2": {
    "lr": 0.003,
    "test_example_mean_nll_step100": 1.9098447542370276,
    "test_token_mean_nll_step100": 2.0305850384881765
  }
}
All metrics
metricpilot_adamw_lr1e-4_s0pilot_dimuon_lr1e-3_s0sel_adamw_lr5e-05_s0sel_adamw_lr0.0001_s0sel_adamw_lr0.0002_s0sel_dimuon_lr0.0003_s0sel_dimuon_lr0.001_s0sel_dimuon_lr0.003_s0baseline_adamw_s0treatment_dimuon_s0baseline_adamw_s1treatment_dimuon_s1baseline_adamw_s2treatment_dimuon_s2
val_token_mean_nll_step102.0962.267————————————
train_nll_drop_step1_to_10—0.3908————————————
val_token_mean_nll_step40——2.0712.0662.0632.2512.1072.067——————
test_token_mean_nll_step100————————2.0332.0332.0312.032.0312.031
test_example_mean_nll_step100————————1.9121.9111.9121.9091.911.91
lr————————0.00020.0030.00020.0030.00020.003
primary_mean_adamw_minus_dimuon
0.0006414
primary_ci95_low
-0.0003151
primary_ci95_high
0.001598
primary_sd
0.000385
margin
0.02
diff_adamw_minus_dimuon_s0
0.0005477
diff_adamw_minus_dimuon_s1
0.001065
diff_adamw_minus_dimuon_s2
0.0003118
selected_lr_adamw
0.0002
selected_lr_dimuon
0.003
paired_batch_hash_match_confirmation
1
wall_minutes
74.95
trainer_gpu_hours
1.147
Interim updates from Devin (4, first Nov 4, 15:10 UTC)
Artifact references
  • checkpoint · baseline_adamw_s0 · step 100 · tinker://f11c48d0f72f37d4ff9c6cde3cf5e327/weights/confirm-baseline_adamw_s0-final
  • checkpoint · treatment_dimuon_s0 · step 100 · tinker://5114900d3184a1f9e9047b5305999c3f/weights/confirm-treatment_dimuon_s0-final
  • checkpoint · baseline_adamw_s1 · step 100 · tinker://3237e16ec54b87586f4118a972d03f52/weights/confirm-baseline_adamw_s1-final
  • checkpoint · treatment_dimuon_s1 · step 100 · tinker://08e25db82a092035669aa384182fbeb0/weights/confirm-treatment_dimuon_s1-final
  • checkpoint · baseline_adamw_s2 · step 100 · tinker://8eaad4366b3e3f1193bc20115d07490d/weights/confirm-baseline_adamw_s2-final
  • checkpoint · treatment_dimuon_s2 · step 100 · tinker://c8db5bb847cd27aaacea58a0dd7561a8/weights/confirm-treatment_dimuon_s2-final
  • checkpoint · sel_adamw_lr5e-05_s0 · step 40 · tinker://3e998640432b43e01b7fb42771192b91/weights/select-sel_adamw_lr5e-05_s0-final
  • checkpoint · sel_adamw_lr0.0001_s0 · step 40 · tinker://03adbc7870ed91f79da6f4176f6bc747/weights/select-sel_adamw_lr0.0001_s0-final
  • checkpoint · sel_adamw_lr0.0002_s0 · step 40 · tinker://bbaff5449c41db38914ac3f4523738b2/weights/select-sel_adamw_lr0.0002_s0-final
  • checkpoint · sel_dimuon_lr0.0003_s0 · step 40 · tinker://df15cdc0afbf74e50388cdfd5d48723d/weights/select-sel_dimuon_lr0.0003_s0-final
  • checkpoint · sel_dimuon_lr0.001_s0 · step 40 · tinker://07a741b9c4df208a09f7f0ba7592d096/weights/select-sel_dimuon_lr0.001_s0-final
  • checkpoint · sel_dimuon_lr0.003_s0 · step 40 · tinker://c1d1931de8c1fc62d30b56642bd6b4bf/weights/select-sel_dimuon_lr0.003_s0-final
  • script · run.py sha256 8480b967ec29
  • script · common.py sha256 531860b23c60
  • script · fork_config.py sha256 dfd0ccd95ebc
  • script · probe_shared.py sha256 20499f5b52d3
  • script · smoke.py sha256 37ac8a8dd697
  • script · preflight.py sha256 466afac60991
  • script · analyze_preflight.py sha256 4574d9d3d7c5
  • script · analyze2.py sha256 abf7fc94170c
  • script · local_parity.py sha256 9c79b2ed02ff
  • script · loadlib.py sha256 ba2b24b2f8c0
  • script · build_preflight.py sha256 708c79dd01bb
  • script · launch_confirm.py sha256 0b448f42bedd
  • script · restore_check.py sha256 995a05bc7fcf
  • script · final_analysis.py sha256 a0eb6a3e00fe
  • script · loss_eval.py sha256 5e7dd8833027
  • script · loss_report.py sha256 ea3cff27bdec
  • script · build_result.py sha256 0d045f274dd0
  • script · dimuon_candidate.py sha256 31c5f60cb273
  • instructions · launch-instructions.md sha256 dfb05d79fc61
  • effective_config · effective-config.json sha256 1d9e8504b61c
  • code_revision · code-revision.txt sha256 fea50584124d
  • code_patch · spindle_fork.patch sha256 e99d856d7c3d
  • predictions · predictions-confirm-test.jsonl sha256 3657247fd14a
  • metrics · scored-observations-final.jsonl sha256 90d81ba7953f
  • metrics · select_log.jsonl sha256 f47284b8fc80
  • metrics · confirm_log.jsonl sha256 bdf2f3591091
  • metrics · pilot_log.jsonl sha256 0755d8e73d3c
  • metrics · preflight_log.json sha256 8d4fdf3ece72
  • metrics · probe_shared_log.json sha256 71b2ba23dad9
  • metrics · correctness_preflight.json sha256 7cc662748d8f
  • metrics · preflight_results.json sha256 2feb6fdd919a
  • metrics · local_parity.json sha256 51ce08e44345
  • metrics · restore_check.json sha256 354a2d0e9cbe
  • metrics · selection_frozen.json sha256 ce8a7eaad120
  • metrics · final_numbers.json sha256 5f319af65221
  • metrics · loss_eval_record.json sha256 2830948954bc
  • metrics · spec.json sha256 88d9223c010d
  1. Nov 4, 16:21 UTC · succeeded · done: sel_adamw_lr5e-05_s0, sel_adamw_lr0.0001_s0, sel_adamw_lr0.0002_s0, sel_dimuon_lr0.0003_s0, sel_dimuon_lr0.001_s0, sel_dimuon_lr0.003_s0, baseline_adamw_s0, treatment_dimuon_s0, baseline_adamw_s1, treatment_dimuon_s1, baseline_adamw_s2, treatment_dimuon_s2 · On fork spindle-fork-run_07e69074dc, 100-step rank-32 LoRA SFT of Qwen3.5-2B on no_robots gave AdamW-minus-Dimuon test token-mean NLL +0.00064 nats (per-seed +0.00055, +0.00106, +0.00031; 95% paired-…
  2. Nov 4, 15:39 UTC · running · Fork spindle-fork-run_07e69074dc deployed (shared Spindle rejects dimuon). Correctness preflight: AdamW parity pass, identical-input Dimuon-vs-reference parity exact, LR scaling pass; restore-replay …
  3. Nov 4, 15:19 UTC · running · Shared Spindle rejects dimuon (400 'optimizer family dimuon is not supported'); AdamW works. Deployed throwaway fork spindle-fork-run_07e69074dc in research-exchange-runs (Spindle 5148cb6 + proxy-aut…
  4. Nov 4, 15:10 UTC · running · Launch instructions downloaded and hash-verified; setting up shared-Spindle optimizer probe and Spindle fork for dimuon-lite.
Artifacts
correctness_preflight
{'required': True, 'paths': [{'id': 'spindle_dimuon_lite_optimizer', 'fixed_input': {'sha256': '531ee9d8f612c6223ce02e0ec63ec5302de9b8c591d90c84ce6e1d29f923f845', 'description': 'Step-1 fixture: seed-0 first no_robots train batch (32 seqs, sha256 d9ce572e4cf770c21e54e31f0cd523d578343475316b862f1453171ae1c3c6eb, cross_entropy, cookbook weights), fork init state tinker://accb828dfecae1fa66fdd1a5cd641b23/weights/pf-init (fp32 sha256 3388743efeef0e9eb77f61bc1fc018db7bb82e5e6a313f707ad028d9b95e1bd0, LoRA B=0), optimizer state reset per client. Hash covers the exact fp32 gradient fixture (AdamW client exp_avg). Stale-scale step 2 uses a second fixed fp32 gradient. Retrieved via modal volume get run_07e69074dc-checkpoints.'}, 'baseline_revision': 'UNRESOLVED: pin the modal-projects/spindle commit deployed at the shared Spindle URL (post-#85). AdamW updates on this deployment must match the pre-#85 AdamW update on identical grads/state.', 'reference_revision': "UNRESOLVED: pin the commit of Aaron's DiMuon reconstruction (0.09% relative update error vs Tinker) and the modal-projects/miles commit of #17", 'resolved_revisions': {'baseline_executed': 'fork spindle-fork-run_07e69074dc: modal-projects/spindle 5148cb62a019862ef9b50d76b7be55cddb288e8a (PR #85 branch claude/dimuon-spindle-wiring) + spindle_fork.patch (requires_proxy_auth=True); shared Spindle deployment 4af4dd2c46c009fcf8661e625195d4bf6c5dde81 is pre-#85 (rejects dimuon), so no post-#85 shared deployment exists. AdamW reference = stock torch.optim.AdamW on identical exp_avg-derived gradient and init.', 'reference_executed': "Aaron's DiMuon reconstruction has no git commit; pinned by content sha256 31c5f60cb273ca53a0adfda9b88b8ff8fd1efd05c497114dbd0cb1f99673c51e (dimuon_candidate.py, code block of Notion page 3fe1e7f169498132903de1b12bfe4205). Miles PR #17 = modal-projects/miles 228b59d90074e6cec48090e033202c5a4aff3ff3 (dimuon.py sha256 8c5268543094cc6677a4606ecbd5902749c34a5e2f95fa7ba29890e732e86519), mounted via SPINDLE_MILES_TREE."}, 'implementation_revision': 'spindle 5148cb62a019862ef9b50d76b7be55cddb288e8a+proxy-auth patch; miles 228b59d90074e6cec48090e033202c5a4aff3ff3 (dimuon.py sha256 8c5268543094cc6677a4606ecbd5902749c34a5e2f95fa7ba29890e732e86519)', 'precision': 'fp32 master params and gradients; Dimuon working momentum fp32, persisted momentum bf16, Polar Express 5 iters horner_fp16; AdamW fp32 exp_avg/exp_avg_sq; model forward/backward bf16', 'normalization': 'cross_entropy sum of weighted token NLL (cookbook weights, counted by weight>0); Dimuon per-projection-block direction scaled to Frobenius sqrt(rank=32), update lr*(32/32)^0.175, damping 1e-4, beta1 0.9, no grad clip; AdamW bias-corrected first step lr*m_hat/(sqrt(v_hat)+1e-8)', 'errors': {'baseline_update': {'max_abs_error': 2.9103830456733704e-11, 'reference_max_abs': 0.00010000001202570274, 'relative_l2_error': 1.1836754552721225e-07, 'cosine_similarity': 0.9999999999984532}, 'reference_update': {'max_abs_error': 0.0, 'reference_max_abs': 0.00043169609853066504, 'relative_l2_error': 0.0, 'cosine_similarity': 0.999999999999538}}, 'diagnostic_errors': {'reference_update_stale_scales_step2_packed_vs_unpacked': {'max_abs_error': 5.820766091346741e-11, 'reference_max_abs': 0.00045147983473725617, 'relative_l2_error': 7.76425975758586e-08, 'cosine_similarity': 1.0000000000056577}, 'server_dimuon_vs_reference_bf16_momentum_reconstructed_grad': {'max_abs_error': 1.6289202903863043e-05, 'reference_max_abs': 0.00043122234637849033, 'relative_l2_error': 0.008891037556287004, 'cosine_similarity': 0.9999604746790172}, 'server_dimuon_vs_local_miles_same_bf16_input': {'max_abs_error': 1.6289202903863043e-05, 'reference_max_abs': 0.00043122234637849033, 'relative_l2_error': 0.008891037556287004, 'cosine_similarity': 0.99996047467902}, 'server_dimuon_vs_reference_other_client_fp32_grad': {'max_abs_error': 1.6678692190907896e-05, 'reference_max_abs': 0.00043169609853066504, 'relative_l2_error': 0.011249974322777249, 'cosine_similarity': 0.999936718962419}, 'server_cross_client_noise_floor_lr1e-4x10_vs_lr1e-3': {'max_abs_error': 1.5426019672304392e-05, 'reference_max_abs': 0.0004318455175962299, 'relative_l2_error': 0.008530711051707019, 'cosine_similarity': 0.9999636134824236}, 'server_cross_client_gradient_agreement': {'max_abs_error': 0.0039064884185791016, 'reference_max_abs': 0.9726564288139344, 'relative_l2_error': 0.004391774377892753, 'cosine_similarity': 0.9999903569331032}, 'restore_replay_update_vs_uninterrupted': {'max_abs_error': 4.352768883109093e-05, 'reference_max_abs': 0.0004933822783641517, 'relative_l2_error': 0.009953487697234082, 'cosine_similarity': 0.9999504640550458}}, 'reference_update_note': "errors.reference_update compares the deployed Miles Dimuon code against Aaron's reference on bitwise-identical fp32 inputs (passes). Server-executed update vs reference (measured this run): with bf16-persisted momentum as input max_abs 1.63e-05, cosine 0.999960, 6 of 27475968 elements outside atol 1e-5/rtol 1e-2; with another client's fp32 gradient max_abs 1.67e-05, 6 elements outside. Create-save-restore replay vs uninterrupted step 2: rel L2 0.0100, cosine 0.999950, 83 elements outside atol 1e-5/rtol 1e-2 (attributed, not proven, to bf16 optimizer-state persistence; no arm restores optimizer state mid-training).", 'lr_scaling': [{'learning_rate': 0.0001, 'update_norm': 0.005571355029109937}, {'learning_rate': 0.001, 'update_norm': 0.05571355460103725}, {'learning_rate': 0.01, 'update_norm': 0.5571355024069835}], 'restore_replay_update_vs_uninterrupted': {'max_abs_error': 4.352768883109093e-05, 'reference_max_abs': 0.0004933822783641517, 'relative_l2_error': 0.009953487697234082, 'cosine_similarity': 0.9999504640550458, 'elementwise_pass_fraction': 0.9999969791783132, 'n_elements': 27475968, 'n_fail': 83}, 'restore_replay_momentum': {'max_abs_error': 0.00048828125, 'reference_max_abs': 0.1787109375, 'relative_l2_error': 0.00342291724776035, 'cosine_similarity': 0.9999941420738796}}]}
correctness_validation
{'status': 'passed', 'required': True, 'checks': [{'path': 'spindle_dimuon_lite_optimizer', 'check': 'baseline_update', 'status': 'passed', 'tolerance': {'atol': 1e-06, 'rtol': 0.001, 'min_cosine': 0.99999}, 'measured': {'max_abs_error': 2.9103830456733704e-11, 'reference_max_abs': 0.00010000001202570274, 'relative_l2_error': 1.1836754552721225e-07, 'cosine_similarity': 0.9999999999984532}}, {'path': 'spindle_dimuon_lite_optimizer', 'check': 'reference_update', 'status': 'passed', 'tolerance': {'atol': 1e-05, 'rtol': 0.01, 'min_cosine': 0.999}, 'measured': {'max_abs_error': 0.0, 'reference_max_abs': 0.00043169609853066504, 'relative_l2_error': 0.0, 'cosine_similarity': 0.999999999999538}}, {'path': 'spindle_dimuon_lite_optimizer', 'check': 'lr_scaling', 'status': 'passed', 'relative_error': 7.735888063464813e-08, 'tolerance': {'learning_rates': [0.0001, 0.001, 0.01], 'rtol': 0.01}}], 'reason': 'Reported baseline and reference parity checks meet accepted tolerances.', 'evidence_source': 'executor report; remote execution is not attested', 'applicability': 'required', 'reported_verdict': 'refuted'}
decision
{'version': 1, 'observations_file': {'name': 'scored-observations-final.jsonl', 'sha256': '90d81ba7953febfbf87cb9cf424dc0180f026e1d67a5d04b323b0d026da73f56'}, 'selection': {'frozen_before_confirmation': True, 'selection_split': '500 held-out no_robots train rows (Random(1234) shuffle, first 500), disjoint from training and test rows', 'selection_steps': 40, 'adamw': {'scores': {'5e-05': 2.0706937086139385, '0.0001': 2.0660295206510506, '0.0002': 2.063437024862308}, 'selected_lr': 0.0002, 'edge': True}, 'dimuon': {'scores': {'0.0003': 2.2506468688995436, '0.001': 2.1066402324519578, '0.003': 2.067498914444817}, 'selected_lr': 0.003, 'edge': True}, 'grid_edge_selected': True}}
decision_validation
{'status': 'uncertain', 'issues': ['Adaptive selection requires disjoint search and confirmation IDs.'], 'criteria': [], 'outcome_reason': 'insufficient_evidence', 'observations_file': {'name': 'scored-observations-final.jsonl', 'sha256': '90d81ba7953febfbf87cb9cf424dc0180f026e1d67a5d04b323b0d026da73f56', 'size': 1501, 'n_observations': 6}, 'unit': 'training_seed', 'n_seeds': 3, 'alpha': 0.05, 'method': 'paired_t', 'assumptions': {'independent_seed_effects': True, 'identically_distributed_seed_effects': True, 'normal_seed_effects': True}, 'applicability': {'check': 'decision_rule', 'status': 'required', 'enforce': True, 'reasons': ['experiment_features: paired_comparison, adaptive_selection is true'], 'features': {'paired_comparison': True, 'adaptive_selection': True}}, 'reported_verdict': 'refuted'}
evaluation
{'version': 1, 'evaluators': {'830529b5110015d8cccda36ffa0fcf180860e8176a1c44e71da3544beaa48c16': {'code_sha256': 'ffd3004c90297bfdb8c5c39aa53f1e94d2ff8769ee6fc23c2ac35b956692733c', 'prompt_template': 'tinker_cookbook renderer for Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B (renderers.get_recommended_renderer_name), conversation_to_datum(messages, renderer, max_length=2048), TrainOnWhat=ALL_ASSISTANT_MESSAGES default; teacher-forced cross_entropy forward; NLL counted where weight>0', 'decoding': {'type': 'teacher_forced_forward', 'temperature': None, 'max_tokens': 0, 'stop': []}, 'parser': 'token NLL = -sum(logprobs[weights>0]); token_mean = sum NLL / sum counted tokens over 500 items', 'items': {'ids': ['no_robots_test:d6c011ffb1ff8a9abe9bd24caf3f9817454a1f054d5d0e0360d19bf50cf6b20c', 'no_robots_test:7682c850c4e5979cef0ad966b8feb119de2bd323bb40819767a161040b59eb7a', 'no_robots_test:45971bbe382b81644487690d2018bc3aec8c807f1be52a9744223e5492255928', 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'no_robots_test:602272a99566bf68a5b48979478bceb0b56f74915925ed8a1b0a558935df3584', 'no_robots_test:ecdac8f179582eb850ec28155ea59279e445c219d7bcccc6753cef24a7199a42', 'no_robots_test:46b880155fdd947f395a3009a313bf8cbfe8e137c37b3a614c49585112e0aa0f', 'no_robots_test:65b835d2335e23cf908b10817be1eb5c1bd5dcd3b80bd3e7a46c72d2cd479e8d', 'no_robots_test:48363ab6108604ad6812a9dbe0f17fc52dc68532d3b3bf4d83bfadcea7b99f9a']}}}, 'scores': [{'arm': 'baseline', 'seed': 0, 'metric': 'no_robots_test_token_mean_nll_at_step_100', 'value': 2.0330861653887684, 'evaluator_id': '830529b5110015d8cccda36ffa0fcf180860e8176a1c44e71da3544beaa48c16', 'predictions_ref': 'predictions-confirm-test.jsonl'}, {'arm': 'treatment', 'seed': 0, 'metric': 'no_robots_test_token_mean_nll_at_step_100', 'value': 2.0325384676338447, 'evaluator_id': '830529b5110015d8cccda36ffa0fcf180860e8176a1c44e71da3544beaa48c16', 'predictions_ref': 'predictions-confirm-test.jsonl'}, {'arm': 'baseline', 'seed': 1, 'metric': 'no_robots_test_token_mean_nll_at_step_100', 'value': 2.0314219380012872, 'evaluator_id': '830529b5110015d8cccda36ffa0fcf180860e8176a1c44e71da3544beaa48c16', 'predictions_ref': 'predictions-confirm-test.jsonl'}, {'arm': 'treatment', 'seed': 1, 'metric': 'no_robots_test_token_mean_nll_at_step_100', 'value': 2.030357345510328, 'evaluator_id': '830529b5110015d8cccda36ffa0fcf180860e8176a1c44e71da3544beaa48c16', 'predictions_ref': 'predictions-confirm-test.jsonl'}, {'arm': 'baseline', 'seed': 2, 'metric': 'no_robots_test_token_mean_nll_at_step_100', 'value': 2.030896831835155, 'evaluator_id': '830529b5110015d8cccda36ffa0fcf180860e8176a1c44e71da3544beaa48c16', 'predictions_ref': 'predictions-confirm-test.jsonl'}, {'arm': 'treatment', 'seed': 2, 'metric': 'no_robots_test_token_mean_nll_at_step_100', 'value': 2.0305850384881765, 'evaluator_id': '830529b5110015d8cccda36ffa0fcf180860e8176a1c44e71da3544beaa48c16', 'predictions_ref': 'predictions-confirm-test.jsonl'}], 'comparisons': [{'metric': 'no_robots_test_token_mean_nll_at_step_100', 'arms': ['baseline', 'treatment']}]}
evaluator_validation
{'status': 'comparable', 'issues': [], 'comparisons': [{'metric': 'no_robots_test_token_mean_nll_at_step_100', 'status': 'comparable', 'arms': ['baseline', 'treatment'], 'evaluator_ids': ['830529b5110015d8cccda36ffa0fcf180860e8176a1c44e71da3544beaa48c16'], 'missing_arms': []}]}
feasibility
{'status': 'unknown', 'problems': ['Re-projection required: lora_rank changed or was not recorded', 'Re-projection required: dataset changed or was not recorded', 'Re-projection required: steps changed or was not recorded', 'Re-projection required: n_examples changed or was not recorded', 'Re-projection required: n_eval changed or was not recorded', 'Representative evaluation timing not recorded', 'Representative training timing not recorded', 'Representative setup timing not recorded', 'Unknown timing phase: setup_fork_deploy', 'Unknown timing phase: setup_pilot', 'Unknown timing phase: training_pilot', 'Unknown timing phase: heldout_eval_pilot', 'Unknown timing phase: setup_selection', 'Unknown timing phase: training_selection', 'Unknown timing phase: heldout_eval_selection', 'Unknown timing phase: setup_confirmation', 'Unknown timing phase: training_confirmation', 'Unknown timing phase: heldout_eval_confirmation'], 'wall_seconds': None, 'gpu_hours': None, 'known_gpu_hours': 1.2508076457182566, 'phases': {'recovery': {'wall_seconds': 4502.907524585724, 'gpu_hours': 1.2508076457182566}}, 'generation_counts': None, 'generation_applicability': {'check': 'generation_audit', 'status': 'not_applicable', 'enforce': False, 'reasons': ['spec.generation_audit opts out and no feature it covers is true'], 'features': {'generated_training_data': False}}, 'record': {'config': {'base_model': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'arms': 12, 'selection_steps': 40, 'confirmation_steps': 100, 'batch_size': 32, 'max_seq_len': 2048, 'n_eval_validation': 500, 'n_eval_test': 500, 'n_ifeval_secondary': 541, 'planned_arm_steps': 840}, 'effective_config': {'base_model': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'arms': 12, 'selection_steps': 40, 'confirmation_steps': 100, 'batch_size': 32, 'max_seq_len': 2048, 'n_eval_validation': 500, 'n_eval_test': 500, 'n_ifeval_secondary': 0, 'planned_arm_steps': 840, 'pilot_arms': 2, 'pilot_steps': 10, 'note': 'IFEval dropped (downsizing step 1); LR grid, selection steps, seeds, test NLL unchanged'}, 'primary_endpoint': 'no_robots_test_token_mean_nll_at_step_100', 'source': 'pilot_log.jsonl (10-step 2-arm pilot, measured before the sweep); select_log.jsonl and confirm_log.jsonl measured', 'measurements': {'setup_fork_deploy': {'seconds': 19.0, 'units': 1, 'planned_units': 1, 'samples': 1, 'gpu_count': 1, 'allocation_source': 'fork_config.py trainer_gpus_per_node=1 (single trainer GPU; inference min replicas 0)'}, 'setup_pilot': {'seconds': 285.4358539581299, 'units': 2, 'planned_units': 2, 'samples': 2, 'gpu_count': 1, 'allocation_source': 'fork_config.py trainer_gpus_per_node=1 (single trainer GPU; inference min replicas 0)'}, 'training_pilot': {'seconds': 122.76167058944702, 'units': 20, 'planned_units': 20, 'samples': 640, 'gpu_count': 1, 'allocation_source': 'fork_config.py trainer_gpus_per_node=1 (single trainer GPU; inference min replicas 0)'}, 'heldout_eval_pilot': {'seconds': 73.11771726608276, 'units': 1000, 'planned_units': 1000, 'samples': 1000, 'gpu_count': 1, 'allocation_source': 'fork_config.py trainer_gpus_per_node=1 (single trainer GPU; inference min replicas 0)'}, 'setup_selection': {'seconds': 82.80450391769409, 'units': 6, 'planned_units': 6, 'samples': 6, 'gpu_count': 1, 'allocation_source': 'fork_config.py trainer_gpus_per_node=1 (single trainer GPU; inference min replicas 0)'}, 'training_selection': {'seconds': 494.3076186180115, 'units': 240, 'planned_units': 240, 'samples': 7680, 'gpu_count': 1, 'allocation_source': 'fork_config.py trainer_gpus_per_node=1 (single trainer GPU; inference min replicas 0)'}, 'heldout_eval_selection': {'seconds': 160.32491517066956, 'units': 3000, 'planned_units': 3000, 'samples': 3000, 'gpu_count': 1, 'allocation_source': 'fork_config.py trainer_gpus_per_node=1 (single trainer GPU; inference min replicas 0)'}, 'setup_confirmation': {'seconds': 274.54359698295593, 'units': 6, 'planned_units': 6, 'samples': 6, 'gpu_count': 1, 'allocation_source': 'fork_config.py trainer_gpus_per_node=1 (single trainer GPU; inference min replicas 0)'}, 'training_confirmation': {'seconds': 742.3969576358795, 'units': 600, 'planned_units': 600, 'samples': 19200, 'gpu_count': 1, 'allocation_source': 'fork_config.py trainer_gpus_per_node=1 (single trainer GPU; inference min replicas 0)'}, 'heldout_eval_confirmation': {'seconds': 159.3210573196411, 'units': 3000, 'planned_units': 3000, 'samples': 3000, 'gpu_count': 1, 'allocation_source': 'fork_config.py trainer_gpus_per_node=1 (single trainer GPU; inference min replicas 0)'}}, 'generation': None, 'recovery': {'seconds': 4502.907524585724, 'gpu_count': 1, 'allocation_source': 'fork_config.py trainer_gpus_per_node=1 (single trainer GPU; inference min replicas 0)'}}, 'recorded_at': 1793809272.6893096}
feasibility_reported_verdict
refuted
feasibility_required
True
generation_audit_validation
{'status': 'not_applicable', 'reasons': ['spec.generation_audit opts out and no feature it covers is true'], 'applicability': {'check': 'generation_audit', 'status': 'not_applicable', 'enforce': False, 'reasons': ['spec.generation_audit opts out and no feature it covers is true'], 'features': {'generated_training_data': False}}}
initialization_provenance
{'version': 1, 'arms': [{'arm': 'sel_adamw_lr5e-05_s0', 'phase': 'select', 'base_checkpoint': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'initialization_checkpoint': 'tinker://3e998640432b43e01b7fb42771192b91/weights/select-init-s0', 'source': 'server_response', 'before_first_update': True, 'restore_count': 0, 'optimizer_checks': [{'after_restore': 0, 'before_next_update': True, 'optimizer': 'adamw', 'model': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'rank': 32}], 'initial_output_sha256': 'd7ba8bf1d6c57c98e0583ccf7b1768634e9973631561c4770d0e69e1e8fee0f7', 'evidence_ref': 'select_log.jsonl', 'adapter_sha256': None, 'adapter_note': 'selection arms all start from saved state select-init-s0; per-arm adapter not downloaded, initial output hash recorded'}, {'arm': 'sel_adamw_lr0.0001_s0', 'phase': 'select', 'base_checkpoint': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'initialization_checkpoint': 'tinker://3e998640432b43e01b7fb42771192b91/weights/select-init-s0', 'source': 'server_response', 'before_first_update': True, 'restore_count': 1, 'optimizer_checks': [{'after_restore': 0, 'before_next_update': True, 'optimizer': 'adamw', 'model': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'rank': 32}, {'after_restore': 1, 'before_next_update': True, 'optimizer': 'adamw', 'model': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'rank': 32}], 'initial_output_sha256': 'd7ba8bf1d6c57c98e0583ccf7b1768634e9973631561c4770d0e69e1e8fee0f7', 'evidence_ref': 'select_log.jsonl', 'adapter_sha256': None, 'adapter_note': 'selection arms all start from saved state select-init-s0; per-arm adapter not downloaded, initial output hash recorded'}, {'arm': 'sel_adamw_lr0.0002_s0', 'phase': 'select', 'base_checkpoint': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'initialization_checkpoint': 'tinker://3e998640432b43e01b7fb42771192b91/weights/select-init-s0', 'source': 'server_response', 'before_first_update': True, 'restore_count': 1, 'optimizer_checks': [{'after_restore': 0, 'before_next_update': True, 'optimizer': 'adamw', 'model': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'rank': 32}, {'after_restore': 1, 'before_next_update': True, 'optimizer': 'adamw', 'model': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'rank': 32}], 'initial_output_sha256': 'd7ba8bf1d6c57c98e0583ccf7b1768634e9973631561c4770d0e69e1e8fee0f7', 'evidence_ref': 'select_log.jsonl', 'adapter_sha256': None, 'adapter_note': 'selection arms all start from saved state select-init-s0; per-arm adapter not downloaded, initial output hash recorded'}, {'arm': 'sel_dimuon_lr0.0003_s0', 'phase': 'select', 'base_checkpoint': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'initialization_checkpoint': 'tinker://3e998640432b43e01b7fb42771192b91/weights/select-init-s0', 'source': 'server_response', 'before_first_update': True, 'restore_count': 1, 'optimizer_checks': [{'after_restore': 0, 'before_next_update': True, 'optimizer': 'dimuon', 'model': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'rank': 32}, {'after_restore': 1, 'before_next_update': True, 'optimizer': 'dimuon', 'model': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'rank': 32}], 'initial_output_sha256': 'd7ba8bf1d6c57c98e0583ccf7b1768634e9973631561c4770d0e69e1e8fee0f7', 'evidence_ref': 'select_log.jsonl', 'adapter_sha256': None, 'adapter_note': 'selection arms all start from saved state select-init-s0; per-arm adapter not downloaded, initial output hash recorded'}, {'arm': 'sel_dimuon_lr0.001_s0', 'phase': 'select', 'base_checkpoint': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'initialization_checkpoint': 'tinker://3e998640432b43e01b7fb42771192b91/weights/select-init-s0', 'source': 'server_response', 'before_first_update': True, 'restore_count': 1, 'optimizer_checks': [{'after_restore': 0, 'before_next_update': True, 'optimizer': 'dimuon', 'model': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'rank': 32}, {'after_restore': 1, 'before_next_update': True, 'optimizer': 'dimuon', 'model': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'rank': 32}], 'initial_output_sha256': 'd7ba8bf1d6c57c98e0583ccf7b1768634e9973631561c4770d0e69e1e8fee0f7', 'evidence_ref': 'select_log.jsonl', 'adapter_sha256': None, 'adapter_note': 'selection arms all start from saved state select-init-s0; per-arm adapter not downloaded, initial output hash recorded'}, {'arm': 'sel_dimuon_lr0.003_s0', 'phase': 'select', 'base_checkpoint': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'initialization_checkpoint': 'tinker://3e998640432b43e01b7fb42771192b91/weights/select-init-s0', 'source': 'server_response', 'before_first_update': True, 'restore_count': 1, 'optimizer_checks': [{'after_restore': 0, 'before_next_update': True, 'optimizer': 'dimuon', 'model': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'rank': 32}, {'after_restore': 1, 'before_next_update': True, 'optimizer': 'dimuon', 'model': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'rank': 32}], 'initial_output_sha256': 'd7ba8bf1d6c57c98e0583ccf7b1768634e9973631561c4770d0e69e1e8fee0f7', 'evidence_ref': 'select_log.jsonl', 'adapter_sha256': None, 'adapter_note': 'selection arms all start from saved state select-init-s0; per-arm adapter not downloaded, initial output hash recorded'}, {'arm': 'baseline_adamw_s0', 'phase': 'confirm', 'base_checkpoint': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'initialization_checkpoint': 'tinker://f11c48d0f72f37d4ff9c6cde3cf5e327/weights/confirm-init-s0', 'source': 'server_response', 'before_first_update': True, 'restore_count': 0, 'optimizer_checks': [{'after_restore': 0, 'before_next_update': True, 'optimizer': 'adamw', 'model': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'rank': 32}], 'initial_output_sha256': '6e2313c4c269801a8b9950b4ebee38fbda850114d334dccc1ea46abd084e51bc', 'evidence_ref': 'restore_check.json', 'step0_checkpoint': 'tinker://f11c48d0f72f37d4ff9c6cde3cf5e327/weights/confirm-baseline_adamw_s0-step0', 'adapter_sha256': '51f089a87ece974104b8005791b54925d905618735136ff61525a9e4d5478e93', 'fp32_param_sha256': 'f276ed16271041f69577844cbda84339e64d1bdc810283d3d415212794783e54', 'server_checkpoint_optimizer': 'adamw'}, {'arm': 'treatment_dimuon_s0', 'phase': 'confirm', 'base_checkpoint': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'initialization_checkpoint': 'tinker://f11c48d0f72f37d4ff9c6cde3cf5e327/weights/confirm-init-s0', 'source': 'server_response', 'before_first_update': True, 'restore_count': 1, 'optimizer_checks': [{'after_restore': 0, 'before_next_update': True, 'optimizer': 'dimuon', 'model': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'rank': 32}, {'after_restore': 1, 'before_next_update': True, 'optimizer': 'dimuon', 'model': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'rank': 32}], 'initial_output_sha256': '6e2313c4c269801a8b9950b4ebee38fbda850114d334dccc1ea46abd084e51bc', 'evidence_ref': 'restore_check.json', 'step0_checkpoint': 'tinker://5114900d3184a1f9e9047b5305999c3f/weights/confirm-treatment_dimuon_s0-step0', 'adapter_sha256': '51f089a87ece974104b8005791b54925d905618735136ff61525a9e4d5478e93', 'fp32_param_sha256': 'f276ed16271041f69577844cbda84339e64d1bdc810283d3d415212794783e54', 'server_checkpoint_optimizer': 'dimuon'}, {'arm': 'baseline_adamw_s1', 'phase': 'confirm', 'base_checkpoint': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'initialization_checkpoint': 'tinker://3237e16ec54b87586f4118a972d03f52/weights/confirm-init-s1', 'source': 'server_response', 'before_first_update': True, 'restore_count': 0, 'optimizer_checks': [{'after_restore': 0, 'before_next_update': True, 'optimizer': 'adamw', 'model': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'rank': 32}], 'initial_output_sha256': '6e2313c4c269801a8b9950b4ebee38fbda850114d334dccc1ea46abd084e51bc', 'evidence_ref': 'restore_check.json', 'step0_checkpoint': 'tinker://3237e16ec54b87586f4118a972d03f52/weights/confirm-baseline_adamw_s1-step0', 'adapter_sha256': 'c8a11ec8d00edf4b6b45d3feac3e799de096e46a9e3176aac67fdb14f0d8592b', 'fp32_param_sha256': 'fb777da03b0c3b627613a59d27d60508134ad05cb58b83a04a598c9b9c7d1908', 'server_checkpoint_optimizer': 'adamw'}, {'arm': 'treatment_dimuon_s1', 'phase': 'confirm', 'base_checkpoint': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'initialization_checkpoint': 'tinker://3237e16ec54b87586f4118a972d03f52/weights/confirm-init-s1', 'source': 'server_response', 'before_first_update': True, 'restore_count': 1, 'optimizer_checks': [{'after_restore': 0, 'before_next_update': True, 'optimizer': 'dimuon', 'model': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'rank': 32}, {'after_restore': 1, 'before_next_update': True, 'optimizer': 'dimuon', 'model': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'rank': 32}], 'initial_output_sha256': '6e2313c4c269801a8b9950b4ebee38fbda850114d334dccc1ea46abd084e51bc', 'evidence_ref': 'restore_check.json', 'step0_checkpoint': 'tinker://08e25db82a092035669aa384182fbeb0/weights/confirm-treatment_dimuon_s1-step0', 'adapter_sha256': 'c8a11ec8d00edf4b6b45d3feac3e799de096e46a9e3176aac67fdb14f0d8592b', 'fp32_param_sha256': 'fb777da03b0c3b627613a59d27d60508134ad05cb58b83a04a598c9b9c7d1908', 'server_checkpoint_optimizer': 'dimuon'}, {'arm': 'baseline_adamw_s2', 'phase': 'confirm', 'base_checkpoint': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'initialization_checkpoint': 'tinker://8eaad4366b3e3f1193bc20115d07490d/weights/confirm-init-s2', 'source': 'server_response', 'before_first_update': True, 'restore_count': 0, 'optimizer_checks': [{'after_restore': 0, 'before_next_update': True, 'optimizer': 'adamw', 'model': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'rank': 32}], 'initial_output_sha256': '6e2313c4c269801a8b9950b4ebee38fbda850114d334dccc1ea46abd084e51bc', 'evidence_ref': 'restore_check.json', 'step0_checkpoint': 'tinker://8eaad4366b3e3f1193bc20115d07490d/weights/confirm-baseline_adamw_s2-step0', 'adapter_sha256': '0c1377ebc59ba6d47f890fe6f1b04c3f019054b02af31da4bbca3f66e0c1fc0a', 'fp32_param_sha256': '6d3b9c3d0659410a206fe85843af48ad08a195d32987ccd2c83c3b6b10bf2db6', 'server_checkpoint_optimizer': 'adamw'}, {'arm': 'treatment_dimuon_s2', 'phase': 'confirm', 'base_checkpoint': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'initialization_checkpoint': 'tinker://8eaad4366b3e3f1193bc20115d07490d/weights/confirm-init-s2', 'source': 'server_response', 'before_first_update': True, 'restore_count': 1, 'optimizer_checks': [{'after_restore': 0, 'before_next_update': True, 'optimizer': 'dimuon', 'model': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'rank': 32}, {'after_restore': 1, 'before_next_update': True, 'optimizer': 'dimuon', 'model': 'Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B', 'rank': 32}], 'initial_output_sha256': '6e2313c4c269801a8b9950b4ebee38fbda850114d334dccc1ea46abd084e51bc', 'evidence_ref': 'restore_check.json', 'step0_checkpoint': 'tinker://c8db5bb847cd27aaacea58a0dd7561a8/weights/confirm-treatment_dimuon_s2-step0', 'adapter_sha256': '0c1377ebc59ba6d47f890fe6f1b04c3f019054b02af31da4bbca3f66e0c1fc0a', 'fp32_param_sha256': '6d3b9c3d0659410a206fe85843af48ad08a195d32987ccd2c83c3b6b10bf2db6', 'server_checkpoint_optimizer': 'dimuon'}], 'paired_init_matched_all_seeds': True}
launch
{'experiment_id': 'exp_71911f0fb9', 'context_status': 'snapshotted', 'superseded': False, 'mode': 'ordinary', 'purpose': 'Execute the selected saved experiment version.'}
launch_instructions
{'name': 'launch-instructions-dfb05d79fc61.md', 'sha256': 'dfb05d79fc617d09dc8cc7bd43ab453c9d15d2a4459ce6e8c431ef62b6e53e9f', 'url': 'https://rx.modal.dev/api/runs/run_07e69074dc/evidence/dfb05d79fc617d09dc8cc7bd43ab453c9d15d2a4459ce6e8c431ef62b6e53e9f'}
reported_outcome_reason
refuted
reported_verdict
refuted
restoration_validation
{'status': 'unverified', 'required': True, 'checks': [{'check': 'baseline_adamw_s0', 'status': 'unverified', 'reason': 'baseline_adamw_s0: missing or duplicate arm evidence.'}, {'check': 'treatment_dimuon_s0', 'status': 'unverified', 'reason': 'treatment_dimuon_s0: missing or duplicate arm evidence.'}, {'check': 'baseline_adamw_s1', 'status': 'unverified', 'reason': 'baseline_adamw_s1: missing or duplicate arm evidence.'}, {'check': 'treatment_dimuon_s1', 'status': 'unverified', 'reason': 'treatment_dimuon_s1: missing or duplicate arm evidence.'}, {'check': 'baseline_adamw_s2', 'status': 'unverified', 'reason': 'baseline_adamw_s2: missing or duplicate arm evidence.'}, {'check': 'treatment_dimuon_s2', 'status': 'unverified', 'reason': 'treatment_dimuon_s2: missing or duplicate arm evidence.'}], 'reason': 'baseline_adamw_s0: missing or duplicate arm evidence.', 'applicability': 'required'}
verdict_report
{'effect': 0.0006413611976204455, 'margin': 0.02, 'lower': -0.0003151326920100634, 'upper': 0.0015978550872509543, 'seeds': 3, 'confidence': 'weak', 'reasoning': 'Measured: Dimuon beat AdamW by 0.00064 nats on 500 test items in all 3 seeds, but the 95% paired-t interval [-0.00032, 0.00160] is entirely below the 0.02-nat success margin, so the prespecified criterion is not met (refuted). Inferred limits: both frozen LRs (AdamW 2e-4, Dimuon 3e-3) are at the top of their grids, so a larger LR could change the gap; the restore-replay optimizer-state check showed ~1% relative differences from bf16 state persistence (not exercised by this design).', 'grid_edge': True}
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Details
run
run_07e69074dc
backend
Devin
session
devin-04c7f28b6f4a40539677fe14f8661df9
experiment
exp_71911f0fb9
created
Nov 4, 15:06 UTC
started
Nov 4, 15:06 UTC
finished
Nov 4, 16:21 UTC
duration
1h 14m
GPU-h budget
2.0
wall budget
150 min
base model
Qwen/Qwen3.5-2B
training
SFT
dataset
no_robots
result
final
outcome reason
insufficient evidence
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